As we come close to the end of 2023, the electability of the governmental and vice-presidential candidate set second, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka, has actually gone beyond 50%, according to the most current study by New Indonesia Research & Consulting, released on Friday, December 8, 2023.
Andreas Nuryono, the Exec Director of New Indonesia Research & Consulting, mentioned in his news that the Prabowo-Gibran duo holds a considerable lead over the various other 2 pairs of governmental prospects in a simulation entailing three candidate sets. Set number three, Ganjar Pranowo (https://www.merdeka.com/ganjar-pranowo)-Mahfud Md, safeguarded 26.0% of the support. Meanwhile, pair top, Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar, garnered only 15.3%, with 8.2% reacting as undecided.
” With an electability of 50.5%, the Prabowo-Gibran pair is forecasted to win the presidential election in a single round,” stated Andreas Nuryono in his launch, as reported by Antara.
Therefore, Andreas continued, it is extremely likely that the 2024 presidential election will certainly be determined in simply one round. He kept in mind a substantial change in the past 3 months, leading up to the presidential race tightening down to 3 sets of candidates. In the September survey, Prabowo’s electability had actually not yet gotten to 40% in a simulation entailing three governmental candidates.
After being coupled with Gibran, the eldest kid of President Joko Widodo (Jokowi), assistance for Prabowo has risen. Conversely, Ganjar and Anies saw their electability drop, returning to simulations with numerous governmental prospects. “The selection of the vice-presidential figure significantly increased Prabowo’s electability, rather than Ganjar or Anies,” discussed Andreas.
The New Indonesia Research study & Consulting study was carried out from November 25 to 30, 2023, including 1,200 participants representing all districts. The survey utilized multistage random tasting, with a margin of error of ± 2.89% and a 95% self-confidence level.
Prabowo-Gibran Leads in Polstat Study: 43.5%, Ganjar-Mahfud 27.2%, Anies-Cak Imin 25.8%.
Previously, the Political Statistics (Polstat) Indonesia study company also launched their most recent study findings relating to the electability of governmental and vice-presidential prospects two months prior to the 2024 political election.
One intriguing finding from the Polstat study is that in spite of a month of criticism and flowing problems, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka’s electability continues to be unshaken. As a matter of fact, both, perceived by the public to have actually received full recommendation from President Jokowi, is gaining also extra appeal.
This is just one of the conclusions from the Polstat Indonesia study, performed from November 27 to December 2013 throughout all 38 provinces in the Republic of Indonesia.
” When Polstat Indonesia asked participants which pair they would certainly choose if the political election were held today, 43.5% of participants stated they would vote for Prabowo-Gibran,” said Apna Permana, Supervisor of Study at Polstat Indonesia.
The set that has actually lately often tended to take a rival stance to the federal government, Ganjar-Mahfud, is facing a decrease in popularity, with just 27.2% of respondents picking them.
Anies-Cak Imin, on the other hand, garnered an electability of 25.8%, closely approaching Ganjar-Mahfud’s setting. Only 3.5% of participants remained uncertain.
The survey’s populace included all Indonesian citizens aged 17 and above that possessed an Electronic Identification Card (E-KTP). A sample dimension of 1,200 respondents was gotten with a multi-stage random sampling method.
The margin of mistake was +/- 2.8%, with a confidence level of 95%. Data collection was performed with straight face-to-face interviews with respondents utilizing sets of questions.
Disbelief in Surveys: TKN Chairman Believes Ganjar-Mahfud Will Win 54% in the 2024 Presidential Political election.
Chairman of the National Winning Team (TPN) for Ganjar-Mahfud, Arsjad Rasjid, prompted all volunteer fans of the 3rd set of governmental and vice-presidential prospects not to think the study results. He revealed confidence that Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud Md would certainly win with 54% of the vote in the 2024 presidential political election, going beyond various other candidates with high electability.
” We have a target; we have to stay optimistic regarding winning 54%. Do not believe in the numbers; don’t be discouraged by the numbers,” claimed Arsjad during his speech at the modern affirmation occasion for Ganjar-Mahfud on Friday, December 8, 2023.
He shared a story about Ganjar’s advocate Governor of Central Java, where Ganjar initially had low survey numbers contrasted to his challenger. However, Ganjar managed to become the champion.
” When Mas Ganjar began his advocate governor, his numbers went to 8%, while Pak Bibit [his challenger] was already at 30%. But in the end, Mas Ganjar came to be the guv,” Arsjad specified.
For that reason, Arsjad contacted all volunteers to interact and creatively to make sure Ganjar-Mahfud’s success in a single round in the 2024 presidential election.
” We must think that we can win; winning in one round is our goal. It’s my target, your target, and our shared target,” Arsjad stressed.
He highlighted the limited time left for campaigning, with just 66 days continuing to be. Consequently, he urged everyone to move on with unity and creative thinking.